Choices, policy, and evidence-based investment.

1. Bad Arguments → Bad Choices Great news. There will be a follow-on to the excellent Bad Arguments book by @alialmossawi. The book of Bad Choices will be released this April by major publishers. You can preorder now. 2. Evidence-based decisions → Effective policy outcomes The conversative think tank, Heritage Foundation, is advocating for evidence-based […]

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Mistakes we make, Evidence Index, and Lebron vs Steph.

1. Mistakes we make when sharing insights. We've all done this: Hurried to share valuable, new information and neglected to frame it meaningfully, thus slowing the impact and possibly alienating our audience. Michael Shrage describes a perfect example, taken from The Only Rule Is It Has to Work, a fantastic book about analytics innovation. The […]

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Grit isn’t the answer, plus Scrabble and golf analytics.

1. Poor kids already have grit: Educational Controversy, 2016 edition. All too often, we run with a sophisticated, research-based idea, oversimplify it, and run it into the ground. 2016 seems to be the year for grit. Jean Rhodes, who heads up the Chronicle of Evidence-Based Mentoring (@UMBmentoring) explains that grit is not a panacea for […]

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Book of Bad Arguments, evidence-based social services, and a fresh hell of confusing numbers.

1. Bad logic → Bad arguments → Bad decisions The Book of Bad Arguments is a simple explanation of common logical flaws / barriers to successful, evidence-based decisions. This beautifully illustrated work by Ali Almossawi (@AliAlmossawi) should be on everyone's bookshelf. Now available in several languages. 2. Home visits for children → Lifelong benefits → […]

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Cognitive analytics, satisficing, sabremetrics, and other cool ways of deciding.

1. I was delighted when a friend sent a link to 10 Things I Believe About Baseball Without Evidence. Ken Arneson (@kenarneson) looks at sabremetrics with things like the linguistic relativity principle and the science of memory-based prediction. Warning to Oakland A's fans: Includes yet more reminders of the epic 2014 collapse. 2. The concept […]

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Data & Decision-Making: Five for Friday 7-Nov-2014.

1. "A gut is a personal, nontransferable attribute, which increases the value of a good one." This classic from Harvard Business Review recaps how policy makers have historically made big decisions. It's never just about the data. A Brief History of Decision Making. 2. James Taylor, an expert on decision management who I admire, is […]

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Interview Wednesday: James Taylor on decision management, analytics, and evidence.

For Interview Wednesday, today we hear from James Taylor, CEO of Decision Management Solutions in Palo Alto, California. Email him james@decisionmanagementsolutons.com, or follow on Twitter @jamet123. James' work epitomizes the mature use of evidence: Developing decision processes, figuring out ahead of time what evidence is required for a particular type of decision, then continually refining […]

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Tech needs to embrace diversity in more ways than one.
group tech execs

In the U.S. there’s a push for more opportunity and diversity in the tech industry (for good reason, judging from recent statistics). Diversity is an important social goal. Where I live in Oakland, California, good work is being done to foster inclusion in tech. But I see another, related problem: We need more diversity of […]

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