Choices, policy, and evidence-based investment.
Stand up for science, evidence for surgery, and cognitive computing for execs.
1. Bad Arguments → Bad Choices Great news. There will be a follow-on to the excellent Bad Arguments book by @alialmossawi. The book of Bad Choices will be released this April by major publishers. You can preorder now. 2. Evidence-based decisions → Effective policy outcomes The conversative think tank, Heritage Foundation, is advocating for evidence-based […]
Mistakes we make, Evidence Index, and Lebron vs Steph.
1. Know someone who effectively promotes evidence? Nominations are open for the 2016 John Maddox Prize for Standing up for Science, recognizing an individual who promotes sound science and evidence on a matter of public interest, facing difficulty or hostility in doing so. Researchers in any area of science or engineering, or those who work […]
Grit isn’t the answer, plus Scrabble and golf analytics.
1. Mistakes we make when sharing insights. We've all done this: Hurried to share valuable, new information and neglected to frame it meaningfully, thus slowing the impact and possibly alienating our audience. Michael Shrage describes a perfect example, taken from The Only Rule Is It Has to Work, a fantastic book about analytics innovation. The […]
Book of Bad Arguments, evidence-based social services, and a fresh hell of confusing numbers.
1. Poor kids already have grit: Educational Controversy, 2016 edition. All too often, we run with a sophisticated, research-based idea, oversimplify it, and run it into the ground. 2016 seems to be the year for grit. Jean Rhodes, who heads up the Chronicle of Evidence-Based Mentoring (@UMBmentoring) explains that grit is not a panacea for […]
“Big E” vs. “little e” evidence, the hero’s journey, and provisional truth.
1. Bad logic → Bad arguments → Bad decisions The Book of Bad Arguments is a simple explanation of common logical flaws / barriers to successful, evidence-based decisions. This beautifully illustrated work by Ali Almossawi (@AliAlmossawi) should be on everyone's bookshelf. Now available in several languages. 2. Home visits for children → Lifelong benefits → […]
Cognitive analytics, satisficing, sabremetrics, and other cool ways of deciding.
1. It's tempting to think there's a hierarchy for data: That evidence from high-quality experiments is on top at Level 1, and other research findings follow thereafter. But even in healthcare – the gold standard for the "gold standard" – it's not that simple, says NICE in The NICE Way: Lessons for Social Policy and […]
Data & Decision-Making: Five for Friday 7-Nov-2014.
1. I was delighted when a friend sent a link to 10 Things I Believe About Baseball Without Evidence. Ken Arneson (@kenarneson) looks at sabremetrics with things like the linguistic relativity principle and the science of memory-based prediction. Warning to Oakland A's fans: Includes yet more reminders of the epic 2014 collapse. 2. The concept […]
Interview Wednesday: James Taylor on decision management, analytics, and evidence.
1. "A gut is a personal, nontransferable attribute, which increases the value of a good one." This classic from Harvard Business Review recaps how policy makers have historically made big decisions. It's never just about the data. A Brief History of Decision Making. 2. James Taylor, an expert on decision management who I admire, is […]
Tech needs to embrace diversity in more ways than one.
For Interview Wednesday, today we hear from James Taylor, CEO of Decision Management Solutions in Palo Alto, California. Email him firstname.lastname@example.org, or follow on Twitter @jamet123. James' work epitomizes the mature use of evidence: Developing decision processes, figuring out ahead of time what evidence is required for a particular type of decision, then continually refining […]
In the U.S. there’s a push for more opportunity and diversity in the tech industry (for good reason, judging from recent statistics). Diversity is an important social goal. Where I live in Oakland, California, good work is being done to foster inclusion in tech. But I see another, related problem: We need more diversity of […]